When there is even one billionaire, there will be several
half-billionaires and many hundred-millionaires. The fact will
be an indication of a tremendous concentration of wealth, and of the
dwindling proportion of wealth held by the farmers and wage-earners
of this country. The billionaire will bring an army of paupers
in his train. Possibly the actual average wealth of farmers
and mechanics then may be a little greater than it is now.
Optimists of that day may assure them that they are richer, by ten
dollars each, than their ancestors were; and therefore that all is
for the best in this best of all possible worlds. But the
discontent of the masses, under a system which gives to one man a
larger amount of wealth than can ever be attained by a million of
his fellow citizens who are fully his equals in skill and merit and
far his superiors in industry, is certain to be great and ever
increasing. Indeed, universal experience demonstrates that
discontent among the masses is far greater than when the weight of
oppression is somewhat diminished than it was before.
...
The vast majority of any community must
always have incomes so small that they cannot help spending three
fourths of what they receive. But the small minority of large
property-owners do not need to spend one eighth of their incomes,
and as a rule they do not spend one half. Looking at the
subject with reference to accumulated wealth, the man who is worth
$1,000 usually spends at least $500 a year on the support of his
family, while the man who is worth $1,000,000 rarely spends
$50,000. Indirect taxation, therefore, obviously bears at
least ten times as heavily upon the former as upon the latter.
Under absolutely direct taxation, no poor man would ever pay a
larger share than a rich man, and, indeed, most of the working
classes would pay no taxes at all; because the collection of direct
taxes from them would be too laborious and expensive to be
maintained.
...
Direct taxation, on a large scale, is near at hand. The men
who bought and paid for the present Congress can now choose what its
form shall be. They can have a general income tax, or they can
have something less open to fraud, less inquisitorial in its nature,
less oppressive upon honest men, and offering no premium to
perjury. But they know nothing about the science of taxation,
and they do not care to learn; so that the whole matter will be left
over to the new Congress, and a general income tax, objectionable as
it is, seems most likely to be adopted.
The Coming Billionaire
The Forum, January, 1891, page 546-557
In the FORUM for November, 1889, the question was asked, "Who owns
the United States?" and reasons were given for the belief that one
half of all the national wealth is owned by 40,000 families and that
three fourths of it is in the possession of fewer than 250,000
families. These estimates were based in part upon official tax
returns, but in part, also upon private information as to the wealth
of 70 estates, specifically named, each estimated to be worth
more than $20,000,000 and averaging $37,500,000. The
correctness of these statistics, as well as that of the inferences
drawn from them, has been somewhat bitterly denied. Hostile
critics have assumed that the estimates of individual wealth were
based entirely upon newspaper reports; and many newspaper editors,
acting presumably upon their own experience, have unhesitatingly
declared that such statistics are necessarily worthless.
But not one tenth of these names were given upon the authority of
newspaper estimates, while a large majority were given upon very
trustworthy private information. It has been said that no one
can tell what a man's wealth amounts to without access to his books,
which, it has been assumed, is impossible. In several
instances, however, the information came from persons who had access
to the necessary books or had been permitted to inspect the
securities; in some cases it was obtained from tax returns; and in
other cases it was taken from the oral or written statements of the
owners themselves. For example, one gentleman, whose wealth
was set down at $100,000,000 had actually exhibited $75,000,000 in
securities, and had testified in a court of law to the possession of
$10,000,000 more of one kind, all encumbered. During the year
which has now elapsed, not one tenth of these names have been
specified by any one as erroneously entered upon the list or as
seriously overrated, and in only three instances has any probable
error been established. These names might be omitted, and
their places might be supplied by others of the twenty million
grade. Errors of understatement have been discovered which
largely counterbalance all overstatements. The least that can
be said is that there are 70 American estates that average
$35,000,000 each, not including Trinity Church, which perhaps should
not be classed with strictly individual owners. During the
year, by the consolidation of two estates, one individual has become
worth at least $200,000,000. Two brothers, whose property is
held as a unit, together own even a larger amount than this.
Some great estates have been divided up by inheritance, but others
have been divided up by inheritance, but others have been still more
concentrated by that means.