What is home equity, and how does it relate to the American Dream?
Sometimes we hear about "building home equity" as if it were some sort of muscular activity. There are two ways to "build home equity." The first, the old-fashioned way, is by paying down the mortgage. This happens fairly slowly. On a 30 year mortgage, and making no extra payments, here is the payoff schedule for several mortgage rates:
Cumulative Mortgage Payoff Schedule for 30-year Mortgage
|
|
Mortgage Interest Rate
|
Year |
4% |
5% |
6% |
7% |
8% |
1
|
1.7% |
1.4% |
1.2% |
1.0% |
0.8% |
2
|
3.5%
|
3.0% |
2.5% |
2.0% |
1.7% |
5
|
9.4%
|
8.0% |
6.7% |
5.7% |
4.7% |
10
|
20.8%
|
18.1% |
15.7% |
13.6% |
11.7% |
15
|
34.6%
|
31.1% |
27.8% |
24.7% |
21.8% |
20
|
51.5% |
48.7% |
43.9% |
40.3% |
36.8% |
25
|
73.0%
|
68.8% |
65.5% |
62.2% |
58.9% |
28
|
86.4%
|
84.2% |
81.9% |
79.4% |
76.8% |
30
|
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
The other -- and much faster -- part of home equity, of course, is the appreciation we have come to expect. What few people realize is that houses do not appreciate; they are never worth more than what it costs to build them, less depreciation, to account for deterioration, obsolescence of systems, etc. A Federal Reserve Board Study (May, 2006) pegged annual depreciation of single family home stock at 1.5%.
So when housing was rising in value by 5% or 10% per year, what was rising was the price of the land under the houses, not the houses themselves.
What causes land to rise in value? Not individual activity. Not the landholder himself. There is no muscular activity on the part of the landholder here! (Yes, the owner who does a gut renovation adds to his property's total value, though not always as much as the project costs. Most studies suggest that adding a second bathroom to a home which has only one actually adds more to the value of the property than the project itself costs; some say that adding a deck also pays back more than the project costs. Few other projects pay back fully, so while home equity may rise, it is through individual investment, and the owner's net assets do not increase as a result.)
Land rises in value for reasons which have little or nothing to do with the landholder himself:
- Local taxpayers invest in goods and services which people value: good schools; well-paved streets; well-equipped fire trucks and ambulances; police trained in CPR and equipped with defibulators; parks; courts, jails; sewers and city water replacing septic and wells; libraries; community colleges; letc.
- State and federal taxpayers invest in goods and services which people value: electricity; good transportation systems; infrastructure; "pork"; broadband; public colleges and universities; etc.
- Private sector investments: good hospitals; cultural amenities; an active and vibrant local economy; a healthy downtown; private universities; charities; etc.
- Technological advancements: elevators (urban land); air conditioning (southern states); earth moving equipment -- advances from WWII equipment (making difficult sites easier to develop); fiberglass boats (waterfront properties); maglev trains; etc.
- Population increases: natural fertility increases; assisted fertility; fewer wars or auto or industrial accidents; better outcomes after such events; reduced infant mortality; better health resulting in longer lifespans; people having larger families because of religious beliefs or greater prosperity; local amenities which attract population to the school district or metro area; immigration from other countries; lower cost of living drawing more people;
So if all those things were happening, why did we just experience a crash in land values?
Well, what we experienced was a crash in land prices. Land prices got well ahead of land values in many places. This is known as land speculation. People were "investing" in land, buying homes for outlandish prices, thinking that prices would continue to rise forever. Mortgage lending standard went from 20% down to 10% down to 5% down to 1% down to 105% financing. Private Mortgage Insurance became the norm for first-time buyers. Debt to income ratios rose from 28% to the high 30's, or weren't even discussed. Mortage rates dropped, particularly for Adjustable Rate Mortgages. Interest-only mortgages became available, and negative amortization mortgages were a possibility.
How could we be so stupid?
Did someone yell "FIRE?" (as in the FIRE sector of the economy: Finance, Insurance, Real Estate) The FIRE sector was making money from this. Home builders. Land sellers -- including farmers, land speculators, mom-and-pop subdividers, and many others. Builders. Real estate brokers. Mortgage brokers. Mortgage insurance sellers. Title insurance sellers. Homeowners' insurance sellers.
We considered this private enterprise and pronounced it good.
Go back to the five items listed above, and tell me why a smallish -- or even a largish -- portion of the private sector ought to reap all the benefits for all those things, in proportion to the size and quality of their landholders.
But only the Georgists were aware of what was really happening. What was happening was that we attempted to increase the homeownership rate from the low 60's to the high 60s, under the guise or illusion that by doing so we'd be extending the "American Dream" to an additional 10% of our fellow residents of this country. But of course the homes they could afford were not in the places where land was appreciating, and their attempts to "catch the brass ring" which would, they hoped, make them part of the "rising tide." (Okay, too many metaphors ... but haven't we heard all of them in this context?)
What did the Georgists know? That land value which our system permits landholders to privatize ought to be socialized. Small landholders ... most of the residential owners, that is ... get to privatize some small land value ... a bone to shut them up, while the big landholders -- individuals, family trusts, corporations, REITS, philanthropies, universities, churches and other tax exempts, individual foreign investors, pension funds, private equity funds, foreign sovereign funds, etc. -- get to privatize the BIG land value in our cities. Even in our small cities and medium-sized towns, the businesses which are their own landlords are, on average, far more profitable than those which are tenants, and landlords take a significant share of their tenants' production -- a non-agricultural version of sharecropping, which we honor as if the landlord was actually a producer of some sort.
John Stuart Mill, one of the classical economists, told it this way: Landlords grow rich in their sleep.
So back to the initial question: what is home equity, and how does it relate to the American Dream? Home equity is a sop, thrown to keep the puppies quiet and calm, while the big dogs enjoy the contents of the manger.
We'd be far better off if the vast majority of us -- and our elected officials -- understood and talked openly about what Henry George was telling us, in his landmark book on political economy entitled Progress and Poverty -- subtitled: An inquiry
into the cause of industrial depressions and of increase of want with
increase
of
wealth
... The
Remedy: that we permit the privatization of the economic value of our natural and other rightly-common resources, including urban land value, at our extreme peril.
We turn the American Dream into our common nightmare. Increasing home equity holdings is not the answer to our problems; it is, at bottom, a symptom or sidelight of the problem itself!
We can fix this through a simple and just tax reform.
Oh -- you might be interested in how Henry George dedicated his book, Progress & Poverty:
to those who, seeing the vice
and misery that spring from the unequal distribution of wealth and
privilege, feel the
possibility of a higher social state and would strive for its attainment.